TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12460452
Played Aug 19Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115117118––
Frantisek Dvorak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingBohuslav Budik above · Frantisek Dvorak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8
72 points played in total.
H2H Bohuslav Budik 2–0 Frantisek Dvorak Frantisek Dvorak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.73 / Dvorak 2.00
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Dvorak)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12460452
Budik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 27 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it59% 16 of 27
Dvorak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 18 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBudik2wins
AwayDvorak0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBudik leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBudikDvorakB − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.036.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 489 vs 174 / 31842.7%54.7%209 / 489 vs 174 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakBudik 1.73/Dvorak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 19 · 11:50B. Budik—381211113F. Dvorak—111110672
WMay 21 · 08:25B. Budik—41111113F. Dvorak—116291
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123
F. Dvorak10
LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113LAug 26 · 11:25F. Dvorak1.5751191182A. Jr2.25118112113WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133LAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691WAug 20 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.50121110123V. Koutnik2.5010512101WAug 20 · 10:55T. Rein2.7589120F. Dvorak1.401111143LAug 19 · 12:20J. Sebl2.1011611123F. Dvorak1.678119101LAug 19 · 11:50B. Budik1.80381211113F. Dvorak1.91111110672
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