TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13015828
Played Aug 26Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911211––––
Frantisek Dvorak
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:01 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Dvorak to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Frantisek Dvorak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 49 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Frantisek Dvorak at 71.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 21–42 Frantisek Dvorak Tomas Rein has won 21 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-42 in 63
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 21 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1499 vs Dvorak 1537
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 60% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 50% vs Dvorak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein +1 · Dvorak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 3.00 / Dvorak 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Dvorak)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13015828
Rein3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 99 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 87
Dvorak1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 48 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein1wins
AwayDvorak9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein25%1 of 4
AwayDvorak100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein4Dvorak6n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S2Rein1Dvorak9n = 10Dvorak took 9 of 10
S3Rein2Dvorak8n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S4Rein3Dvorak2n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
S5Rein0Dvorak3n = 3Dvorak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinDvorakR − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.938.4−9.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 829 vs 175 / 31946.4%54.9%385 / 829 vs 175 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakRein 3.00/Dvorak 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein—5920F. Dvorak—1111113
LAug 20 · 10:55T. Rein—89120F. Dvorak—1111143
LAug 13 · 14:03T. Rein—81121172F. Dvorak—118117113
WAug 13 · 12:20T. Rein—11111113F. Dvorak—111891
LAug 5 · 12:55T. Rein—12140F. Dvorak—1411113
LJul 29 · 10:20T. Rein—116111192F. Dvorak—611813113
LJun 14 · 08:25T. Rein—5360F. Dvorak—1111113
LMay 21 · 10:10T. Rein—1111581F. Dvorak—61311113
LMay 21 · 07:25T. Rein—11671162F. Dvorak—711116113
LMay 20 · 15:00T. Rein—4660F. Dvorak—1111113
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
F. Dvorak10
LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113LAug 26 · 11:25F. Dvorak1.5751191182A. Jr2.25118112113WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133LAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691WAug 20 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.50121110123V. Koutnik2.5010512101WAug 20 · 10:55T. Rein2.7589120F. Dvorak1.401111143LAug 19 · 13:33B. Budik1.7381111113F. Dvorak2.00115781LAug 19 · 12:20J. Sebl2.1011611123F. Dvorak1.678119101LAug 19 · 11:50B. Budik1.80381211113F. Dvorak1.91111110672
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