TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457475
Played Aug 19Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3118111210116117
Frantisek Dvorak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Dvorak to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingBohuslav Budik above · Frantisek Dvorak below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Dvorak at 55.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Bohuslav Budik 1–0 Frantisek Dvorak Frantisek Dvorak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:42What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Budik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Budik 1419 vs Dvorak 1579
Dvorak
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 20% vs Dvorak 60%
Dvorak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 40% vs Dvorak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik -1 · Dvorak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.80 / Dvorak 1.91
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Dvorak)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12457475
Budik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 27 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it59% 16 of 27
Dvorak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 18 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBudik1wins
AwayDvorak0wins
Budik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBudikDvorakB − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.028.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 487 vs 174 / 31642.5%55.1%207 / 487 vs 174 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakBudik 1.80/Dvorak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 21 · 08:25B. Budik—41111113F. Dvorak—116291
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123
F. Dvorak10
LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113LAug 26 · 11:25F. Dvorak1.5751191182A. Jr2.25118112113WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133LAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691WAug 20 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.50121110123V. Koutnik2.5010512101WAug 20 · 10:55T. Rein2.7589120F. Dvorak1.401111143LAug 19 · 13:33B. Budik1.7381111113F. Dvorak2.00115781LAug 19 · 12:20J. Sebl2.1011611123F. Dvorak1.678119101
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