TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101538
Played Sep 9Finished
Frantisek Dvorak
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1614116911119––
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:48 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Dvorak to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Dvorak above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 87 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Frantisek Dvorak at 66.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Dvorak 26–11 Tomas Cerveny Jr Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 11 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-11 in 37
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 15 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1522 vs Jr 1528
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 60% vs Jr 40%
Dvorak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak +1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.44 / Jr 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Dvorak)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13101538
Dvorak1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 45 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Jr2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak5wins
AwayJr5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak80%4 of 5
AwayJr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Dvorak6Jr4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S3Dvorak6Jr4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S4Dvorak2Jr3n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
S5Dvorak1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakJrD − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.334.7+0.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakJrBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 305 vs 339 / 62254.4%54.5%166 / 305 vs 339 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.44/Jr 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 27 · 10:20F. Dvorak—11116113T. Jr—281191
WApr 24 · 11:55F. Dvorak—611115113T. Jr—11981192
WMar 31 · 10:20F. Dvorak—1111113T. Jr—5990
LJan 30 · 14:21F. Dvorak—711115102T. Jr—115711123
WJan 30 · 13:20F. Dvorak—1111113T. Jr—8360
LJan 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak—12660T. Jr—1411113
LJan 7 · 14:20F. Dvorak—813111192T. Jr—111596113
WJan 7 · 11:50F. Dvorak—1111143T. Jr—68120
LDec 31 · 12:55F. Dvorak—1110751T. Jr—21211113
LDec 17 · 13:20F. Dvorak—3750T. Jr—1111113
F. Dvorak10
WSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680LSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113LAug 26 · 11:25F. Dvorak1.5751191182A. Jr2.25118112113WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133LAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691WAug 20 · 12:25F. Dvorak1.50121110123V. Koutnik2.5010512101WAug 20 · 10:55T. Rein2.7589120F. Dvorak1.401111143
T. Jr10
LSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113
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