TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101506
Played Sep 9Finished
Tomas Hnizdil
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151179111210––
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:49 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hnizdil above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 58.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hnizdil 1–0 Tomas Cerveny Jr Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hnizdil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hnizdil 1590 vs Jr 1547
Hnizdil
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hnizdil 80% vs Jr 40%
Hnizdil
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hnizdil 50% vs Jr 70%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hnizdil +1 · Jr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hnizdil) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHnizdil 1.40 / Jr 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Hnizdil)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13101506
Hnizdil1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Jr2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHnizdil1wins
AwayJr0wins
Hnizdil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHnizdilJrH − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.035.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHnizdilJrBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 248 vs 339 / 62158.5%54.6%145 / 248 vs 339 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilHnizdil 1.40/Jr 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hnizdil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJan 26 · 13:25T. Hnizdil—111110113T. Jr—681291
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113WSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143WSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113WSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil1.40118118113J. Sebl2.7581171112LSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890WSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113LSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113LSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672
T. Jr10
LSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191WSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113
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