Jan Osmera vs Tomas Rein 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13106026

Played Sep 10Finished

Jan Osmera

Home

1.33

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1210611911911––

Tomas Rein

Away

3.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%

Graded at full time

Jan Osmera to win

59.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Osmera above · Tomas Rein below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Osmera at 59.5%

79 points played in total.

H2H Jan Osmera 32–13 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 13 of their 45 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:35

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.33 (71%)

Osmera

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

32-13 in 45

Osmera

Wrong

gap of 19 in 45, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Osmera 1576 vs Rein 1563

Osmera

Wrong

both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Osmera 60% vs Rein 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Osmera 70% vs Rein 70%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Osmera +3 · Rein -1

Osmera

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Osmera) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rein form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsmera 1.33 / Rein 3.25

Signal prob.75% / 25%

Edge (Osmera)+4.4pp

TT Cup · #13106026

Osmera1.33

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite62% won 72 of 116

Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it75% 46 of 61

Rein3.25

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 94 of 271

Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 162

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOsmera8wins

AwayRein2wins

3 of 10 to a deciderOsmera leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOsmera85.7%6 of 7

AwayRein33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Osmera7Rein3n = 10Osmera took 7 of 10

S2Osmera6Rein4n = 10Osmera took 6 of 10

S3Osmera6Rein4n = 10Osmera took 6 of 10

S4Osmera3Rein2n = 5Osmera took 3 of 5

S5Osmera3Rein0n = 3Osmera took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricOsmeraReinO − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.933.8+4.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsmeraReinBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 479 vs 387 / 83455.5%46.4%266 / 479 vs 387 / 834Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Osmera

Osmera 1.33/Rein 3.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

75.3%

Osmera · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Rein won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera—126991T. Rein—101111113

WAug 17 · 13:23J. Osmera—11711113T. Rein—611981

WAug 17 · 10:50J. Osmera—811117113T. Rein—11561192

WAug 16 · 20:50J. Osmera—611811123T. Rein—118116102

WAug 13 · 11:50J. Osmera—1111123T. Rein—97100

WJul 29 · 13:19J. Osmera—1111143T. Rein—86120

LJul 29 · 12:50J. Osmera—9580T. Rein—1111113

WJul 19 · 07:55J. Osmera—116912113T. Rein—211111062

WJun 28 · 11:25J. Osmera—1111113T. Rein—8790

WMay 29 · 15:50J. Osmera—1111113T. Rein—7890

J. Osmera10

LSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950 WSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781 WSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172 WSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992 LSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153 LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291 WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122 WAug 20 · 07:55J. Osmera1.66911611113B. Budik2.1011811892 WAug 18 · 14:00J. Sebl2.14612911J. Osmera1.58111011113 WAug 18 · 12:50O. Knazik1.73812881J. Osmera2.00111011113

T. Rein10

LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780 LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870 WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101 WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972 LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113 WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540 WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113 LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113 WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113 WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972

Upcoming Matches

J. Osmera

Nothing scheduled

T. Rein

Sep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.20V. Koutnik1.61—

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