TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106845
Played Sep 10Finished
Frantisek Dvorak
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Tomas Rein
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:04 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Dvorak to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Dvorak above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Frantisek Dvorak at 72.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Dvorak 42–21 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 21 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:04What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-21 in 63
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 21 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1524 vs Rein 1550
Rein
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 40% vs Rein 60%
Rein
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 50% vs Rein 70%
Rein
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak -1 · Rein -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dvorak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.33 / Rein 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Dvorak)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13106845
Dvorak1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 47 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Rein3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 94 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvorak9wins
AwayRein1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDvorak leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvorak100%6 of 6
AwayRein25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvorak6Rein4n = 10Dvorak took 6 of 10
S2Dvorak9Rein1n = 10Dvorak took 9 of 10
S3Dvorak8Rein2n = 10Dvorak took 8 of 10
S4Dvorak2Rein3n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
S5Dvorak3Rein0n = 3Dvorak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvorakReinD − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.428.9+9.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakReinBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 307 vs 386 / 83354.4%46.3%167 / 307 vs 386 / 833Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakDvorak 1.33/Rein 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 12:55F. Dvorak—1111113T. Rein—5920
WAug 20 · 10:55F. Dvorak—1111143T. Rein—89120
WAug 13 · 14:03F. Dvorak—118117113T. Rein—81121172
LAug 13 · 12:20F. Dvorak—111891T. Rein—11111113
WAug 5 · 12:55F. Dvorak—1411113T. Rein—12140
WJul 29 · 10:20F. Dvorak—611813113T. Rein—116111192
WJun 14 · 08:25F. Dvorak—1111113T. Rein—5360
WMay 21 · 10:10F. Dvorak—61311113T. Rein—1111581
WMay 21 · 07:25F. Dvorak—711116113T. Rein—11671162
WMay 20 · 15:00F. Dvorak—1111113T. Rein—4660
F. Dvorak10
LSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861WSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191WSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680LSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113WAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113LAug 26 · 11:25F. Dvorak1.5751191182A. Jr2.25118112113WAug 20 · 14:35A. Jr2.001161411112F. Dvorak1.739111213133LAug 20 · 13:25A. Jr2.38111114113F. Dvorak1.53391691
T. Rein10
WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113LAug 26 · 12:55T. Rein3.005920F. Dvorak1.361111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Dvorak
Nothing scheduled
T. Rein
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