Jaroslav Dohnal vs Tomas Rein 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13101063

Played Sep 8Finished

Jaroslav Dohnal

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

115118117––––

Tomas Rein

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingJaroslav Dohnal above · Tomas Rein below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 53 set 3, 11-7

53 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Dohnal 24–12 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 12 of their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Dohnal beat Rein 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dohnal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rein form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDohnal 1.61 / Rein 2.20

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Dohnal)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13101063

Dohnal1.61

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite55% won 115 of 210

Up 2–0, closes it92% 57 of 62

Up 1–0, closes it70% 81 of 116

Rein2.20

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog35% won 95 of 270

Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 159

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDohnal4wins

AwayRein6wins

6 of 10 to a deciderRein leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDohnal25%2 of 8

AwayReinn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dohnal8Rein2n = 10Dohnal took 8 of 10

S2Dohnal4Rein6n = 10Rein took 6 of 10

S3Dohnal6Rein4n = 10Dohnal took 6 of 10

S4Dohnal2Rein7n = 9Rein took 7 of 9

S5Dohnal2Rein4n = 6Rein took 4 of 6

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDohnalReinD − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.539.8+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDohnalReinBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 681 vs 386 / 83259.6%46.4%406 / 681 vs 386 / 832Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.737.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dohnal

Dohnal 1.61/Rein 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.9%

Dohnal · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Dohnal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 8 · 18:20J. Dohnal—111167113T. Rein—98111162

LAug 30 · 10:20J. Dohnal—117661T. Rein—61111113

LAug 29 · 14:05J. Dohnal—1111108122T. Rein—331211143

WAug 29 · 12:25J. Dohnal—121111113T. Rein—146491

LAug 25 · 17:30J. Dohnal—119771T. Rein—41111113

LAug 25 · 16:50J. Dohnal—118119102T. Rein—911711123

WAug 13 · 18:20J. Dohnal—871111113T. Rein—11115552

LAug 1 · 18:55J. Dohnal—111011862T. Rein—712511113

WJul 16 · 20:50J. Dohnal—1111153T. Rein—86130

LJul 12 · 17:55J. Dohnal—11911982T. Rein—311511113

J. Dohnal10

WSep 8 · 20:50B. Budik1.75781261J. Dohnal1.95111110113 WSep 8 · 19:50J. Dohnal1.611111113L. Jirka2.209570 WSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113 WSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113 WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131 WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 WSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113 WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113 LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193

T. Rein10

WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101 WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972 LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113 WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540 WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113 LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113 WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113 WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.