TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098094
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81111314121210––
Lukas Jirka
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:02 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Jirka to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Lukas Jirka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Lukas Jirka at 76.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 2–12 Lukas Jirka Tomas Rein has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Jirka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-12 in 14
Jirka
Wrong
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1541 vs Jirka 1560
Jirka
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 60% vs Jirka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 70% vs Jirka 50%
Rein
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein +1 · Jirka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Jirka) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirka form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 3.00 / Jirka 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Jirka)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13098094
Rein3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 95 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86
Jirka1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 15 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein1wins
AwayJirka9wins
Jirka leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJirka100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein1Jirka9n = 10Jirka took 9 of 10
S2Rein2Jirka8n = 10Jirka took 8 of 10
S3Rein4Jirka6n = 10Jirka took 6 of 10
S4Rein0Jirka4n = 4Jirka took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinJirkaR − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.536.0−6.5per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinJirkaBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 831 vs 101 / 19446.3%52.1%385 / 831 vs 101 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirkaRein 3.00/Jirka 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Jirka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 19:50T. Rein—7890L. Jirka—1111113
LApr 15 · 22:30T. Rein—11580L. Jirka—1311113
LApr 15 · 21:55T. Rein—9151171L. Jirka—11171113
LApr 15 · 21:25T. Rein—9151171L. Jirka—11171113
WMar 4 · 21:50T. Rein—1111133L. Jirka—66110
LDec 2 · 20:55T. Rein—51180L. Jirka—1113113
LNov 5 · 18:10T. Rein—36100L. Jirka—1111123
LNov 2 · 15:20T. Rein—912841L. Jirka—111011113
LNov 1 · 08:55T. Rein—7670L. Jirka—1111113
LOct 25 · 10:00T. Rein—921381L. Jirka—111111113
T. Rein10
WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113
L. Jirka10
LSep 8 · 21:20L. Jirka1.80851191B. Budik1.9111118113LSep 8 · 19:50J. Dohnal1.611111113L. Jirka2.209570WSep 8 · 18:50L. Jirka1.861012911113B. Budik1.80121011852LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 18 · 22:10J. Cousin1.8313111051L. Jirka1.8315312113LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182
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