TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457666
Played Aug 18Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13151131012511––
Lukas Jirka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Lukas Jirka below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 80 set 4, 5-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 10–8 Lukas Jirka Lukas Jirka has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cousin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 1.83 / Jirka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cousin)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12457666
Cousin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jirka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin5wins
AwayJirka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousin50%2 of 4
AwayJirka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin4Jirka6n = 10Jirka took 6 of 10
S2Cousin6Jirka4n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S3Cousin4Jirka6n = 10Jirka took 6 of 10
S4Cousin3Jirka3n = 6split evenly
S5Cousin2Jirka1n = 3Cousin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinJirkaC − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.2+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinJirkaBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 448 vs 96 / 18753.6%51.3%240 / 448 vs 96 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CousinCousin 1.83/Jirka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cousin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jirka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 19:25J. Cousin—111111153L. Jirka—1397131
LAug 6 · 21:55J. Cousin—7860L. Jirka—1111113
WAug 6 · 18:50J. Cousin—911811113L. Jirka—11511482
LJun 18 · 22:00J. Cousin—411111062L. Jirka—115812113
WJun 18 · 18:20J. Cousin—1111113L. Jirka—7990
WMar 8 · 12:20J. Cousin—1111113L. Jirka—8640
LDec 3 · 19:50J. Cousin—6990L. Jirka—1111113
LDec 2 · 20:25J. Cousin—115881L. Jirka—81111113
WNov 30 · 11:20J. Cousin—211711113L. Jirka—11611772
LNov 20 · 22:45J. Cousin—1191181L. Jirka—9111393
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113
L. Jirka10
LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182LAug 18 · 19:25L. Jirka1.731397131J. Cousin2.00111111153WAug 6 · 21:55L. Jirka1.551111113J. Cousin2.307860WAug 6 · 20:20P. Kubat2.388850L. Jirka1.531111113WAug 6 · 19:50T. Rein3.257890L. Jirka1.331111113
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