TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12371880
Played Aug 6Finished
Petr Kubat
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811511––––
Lukas Jirka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Jirka to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Kubat above · Lukas Jirka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Lukas Jirka at 60.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kubat 0–2 Lukas Jirka Petr Kubat has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:36What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jirka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1436 vs Jirka 1590
Jirka
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 60% vs Jirka 40%
Kubat
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 40% vs Jirka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat +2 · Jirka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jirka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirka form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 2.38 / Jirka 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Jirka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12371880
Kubat2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Jirka1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 13 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKubat0wins
AwayJirka2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJirka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKubatJirkaK − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match32.543.5−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatJirkaBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 246 vs 101 / 19536.6%51.8%90 / 246 vs 101 / 195Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirkaKubat 2.38/Jirka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Jirka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jirka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 6 · 20:20P. Kubat—8850L. Jirka—1111113
LNov 18 · 22:10P. Kubat—411121162L. Jirka—119149113
P. Kubat10
WAug 27 · 17:25P. Kubat1.9114711143P. Vodal1.8012119121WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 27 · 14:50T. Rein1.331111113P. Kubat3.253540LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 14 · 13:30P. Kubat1.36119611113A. Jr3.0061111292LAug 14 · 12:50P. Kubat2.0011126562P. Vodal1.739101111113
L. Jirka10
LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 18 · 22:10J. Cousin1.8313111051L. Jirka1.8315312113LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182LAug 18 · 19:25L. Jirka1.731397131J. Cousin2.00111111153WAug 6 · 21:55L. Jirka1.551111113J. Cousin2.307860WAug 6 · 19:50T. Rein3.257890L. Jirka1.331111113
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