TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13012923
Played Aug 25Finished
Martin Boltik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1111191113911114
Petr Kubat
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Boltik to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Boltik above · Petr Kubat below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 91 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Martin Boltik at 60.7%
91 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Boltik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Boltik 1564 vs Kubat 1419
Boltik
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltik 60% vs Kubat 40%
Boltik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltik 60% vs Kubat 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltik -1 · Kubat -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Boltik) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltik 1.73 / Kubat 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Boltik)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13012923
Boltik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 23 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Kubat2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 15 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltikKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 111 vs 88 / 24059.5%36.7%66 / 111 vs 88 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltikBoltik 1.73/Kubat 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Boltik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Boltik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Boltik10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113LAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172WAug 18 · 19:55M. Boltik1.8311711113J. Cousin1.83611791LAug 18 · 18:55M. Boltik2.38911521J. Slavicek1.5311611113WAug 2 · 21:54M. Boltik1.44511911113R. Zeman2.6311611472WAug 2 · 20:20T. Jr3.256960M. Boltik1.331111113WAug 2 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.6381380M. Boltik1.441115113
P. Kubat10
WAug 27 · 17:25P. Kubat1.9114711143P. Vodal1.8012119121WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 27 · 14:50T. Rein1.331111113P. Kubat3.253540LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 14 · 13:30P. Kubat1.36119611113A. Jr3.0061111292LAug 14 · 12:50P. Kubat2.0011126562P. Vodal1.739101111113LAug 14 · 11:20T. Rein1.3311118113P. Kubat3.25681151
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