TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12454674
Played Aug 18Finished
Martin Boltik
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116511211––
Jan Slavicek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Boltik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Boltik above · Jan Slavicek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 66 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Martin Boltik at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Slavicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Boltik 1575 vs Slavicek 1404
Boltik
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltik 60% vs Slavicek 80%
Slavicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltik 60% vs Slavicek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltik +3 · Slavicek +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Boltik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltik 2.38 / Slavicek 1.53
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Boltik)+14.8pp
TT Cup · #12454674
Boltik2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Slavicek1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltikSlavicekBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 106 vs 69 / 17259.4%40.1%63 / 106 vs 69 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltikBoltik 2.38/Slavicek 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Boltik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slavicek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Boltik10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172WAug 18 · 19:55M. Boltik1.8311711113J. Cousin1.83611791WAug 2 · 21:54M. Boltik1.44511911113R. Zeman2.6311611472WAug 2 · 20:20T. Jr3.256960M. Boltik1.331111113WAug 2 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.6381380M. Boltik1.441115113
J. Slavicek10
LAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 21:25J. Cousin2.00121178102J. Slavicek1.731041111123WAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182WMay 19 · 13:59J. Slavicek1.67811711113L. Moravec2.1011811942WMay 19 · 12:50J. Slavicek1.61981111123L. Moravec2.20111158102WMay 19 · 11:20J. Osmera1.9147110J. Slavicek1.801111133WMay 19 · 10:50D. Vojna1.67111110692J. Slavicek2.10781211113LMay 15 · 14:35J. Slavicek2.3877111182D. Sykora1.53111128113WMay 15 · 13:25J. Slavicek2.50115711113D. Sykora1.5081111892WMay 15 · 11:55M. Filipek1.73161111112J. Slavicek2.00111187133
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