TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12454679
Played Aug 18Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101147118111012
Jan Slavicek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJean-Baptiste Cousin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Jan Slavicek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jean-Baptiste Cousin at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slavicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cousin 1488 vs Slavicek 1437
Cousin
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cousin 60% vs Slavicek 100%
Slavicek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cousin 50% vs Slavicek 80%
Slavicek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cousin -1 · Slavicek +5
Slavicek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slavicek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavicek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 2.00 / Slavicek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slavicek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12454679
Cousin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 30 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Slavicek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinSlavicekBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 447 vs 69 / 17253.7%40.1%240 / 447 vs 69 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavicekCousin 2.00/Slavicek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slavicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slavicek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113
J. Slavicek10
LAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182WAug 18 · 18:55M. Boltik2.38911521J. Slavicek1.5311611113WMay 19 · 13:59J. Slavicek1.67811711113L. Moravec2.1011811942WMay 19 · 12:50J. Slavicek1.61981111123L. Moravec2.20111158102WMay 19 · 11:20J. Osmera1.9147110J. Slavicek1.801111133WMay 19 · 10:50D. Vojna1.67111110692J. Slavicek2.10781211113LMay 15 · 14:35J. Slavicek2.3877111182D. Sykora1.53111128113WMay 15 · 13:25J. Slavicek2.50115711113D. Sykora1.5081111892WMay 15 · 11:55M. Filipek1.73161111112J. Slavicek2.00111187133
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