TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475823
Played Aug 22Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119611118––
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Jean-Baptiste Cousin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8
75 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 6–12 Jean-Baptiste Cousin Ales Brandtl Jr has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cousin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cousin form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.80 / Cousin 1.91
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Cousin)+12.7pp
TT Cup · #12475823
Jr1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it67% 29 of 43
Cousin1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayCousin8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCousin leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCousin87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Cousin8n = 10Cousin took 8 of 10
S2Jr4Cousin6n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S3Jr3Cousin7n = 10Cousin took 7 of 10
S4Jr2Cousin5n = 7Cousin took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrCousinJ − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.039.4−6.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrCousinBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 541 vs 241 / 45346.8%53.2%253 / 541 vs 241 / 453Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CousinJr 1.80/Cousin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Cousin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 17:20A. Jr—9560J. Cousin—1111113
LAug 21 · 14:50A. Jr—811551J. Cousin—11811113
WJul 8 · 21:50A. Jr—121211113J. Cousin—1014871
LJul 8 · 18:20A. Jr—118731J. Cousin—71111113
LMay 8 · 20:50A. Jr—128100J. Cousin—1411123
LApr 2 · 22:00A. Jr—3870J. Cousin—1111113
WApr 2 · 20:50A. Jr—1011125113J. Cousin—126101172
LMar 26 · 19:50A. Jr—911411112J. Cousin—117115133
LFeb 12 · 16:50A. Jr—711481J. Cousin—11511113
LFeb 6 · 21:25A. Jr—1171141J. Cousin—13115113
A. Jr10
LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122WSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780LAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 08:55J. Sebl1.3611911113A. Jr3.00911551
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113LAug 22 · 11:55J. Cousin1.36128121192A. Jr3.001411108113
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