TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12477864
Played Aug 23Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191171012112––
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Jean-Baptiste Cousin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 73 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 56.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 10–8 Jean-Baptiste Cousin Jean-Baptiste Cousin has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:32What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cousin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Koutnik
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1574 vs Cousin 1387
Koutnik
Correct
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 60% vs Cousin 20%
Koutnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 70% vs Cousin 20%
Koutnik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik +1 · Cousin -4
Cousin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cousin form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.91 / Cousin 1.80
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Koutnik)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12477864
Koutnik1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 52 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back33% 22 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Cousin1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 81 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it80% 61 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik5wins
AwayCousin5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik83.3%5 of 6
AwayCousin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik6Cousin4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S2Koutnik4Cousin6n = 10Cousin took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik2Cousin8n = 10Cousin took 8 of 10
S4Koutnik4Cousin4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikCousinK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.7−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikCousinBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 327 vs 240 / 44844.7%53.6%146 / 327 vs 240 / 448Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.91/Cousin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 10:55V. Koutnik—411371J. Cousin—11911113
WMar 28 · 16:55V. Koutnik—117711123J. Cousin—911114102
LFeb 28 · 16:25V. Koutnik—651171J. Cousin—11115113
LFeb 12 · 15:50V. Koutnik—11970J. Cousin—1311113
WFeb 8 · 09:20V. Koutnik—11117113J. Cousin—661171
LFeb 7 · 14:25V. Koutnik—118531J. Cousin—71111113
WFeb 1 · 09:25V. Koutnik—11116113J. Cousin—891181
WJan 2 · 18:55V. Koutnik—1211117113J. Cousin—101371142
LJan 2 · 16:50V. Koutnik—5890J. Cousin—1111113
WDec 27 · 15:35V. Koutnik—11116113J. Cousin—951181
V. Koutnik10
LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113WSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272WSep 3 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.751211113T. Hnizdil1.4010460LSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113WAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 13:25A. Jr2.50119661V. Koutnik1.5091111113LAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113WAug 26 · 10:55T. Rein2.2581111872V. Koutnik1.57118311113WAug 25 · 14:10S. Matousch2.268850V. Koutnik1.521111113LAug 25 · 12:50T. Jr2.381011814113V. Koutnik1.53128111252
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113LAug 22 · 11:55J. Cousin1.36128121192A. Jr3.001411108113
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