TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12454683
Played Aug 18Finished
Jan Slavicek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118117911118
Lukas Jirka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Slavicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Slavicek above · Lukas Jirka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Slavicek at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slavicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Slavicek 1422 vs Jirka 1568
Jirka
Wrong
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavicek 100% vs Jirka 60%
Slavicek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavicek 70% vs Jirka 50%
Slavicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavicek +5 · Jirka -1
Slavicek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slavicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavicek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavicek 1.73 / Jirka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slavicek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12454683
Slavicek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Jirka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog60% won 18 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavicekJirkaBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 172 vs 96 / 18540.1%51.9%69 / 172 vs 96 / 185Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavicekSlavicek 1.73/Jirka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slavicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slavicek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Slavicek10
LAug 18 · 22:40J. Slavicek1.5388111542M. Boltik2.381111713113WAug 18 · 21:25J. Cousin2.00121178102J. Slavicek1.731041111123WAug 18 · 18:55M. Boltik2.38911521J. Slavicek1.5311611113WMay 19 · 13:59J. Slavicek1.67811711113L. Moravec2.1011811942WMay 19 · 12:50J. Slavicek1.61981111123L. Moravec2.20111158102WMay 19 · 11:20J. Osmera1.9147110J. Slavicek1.801111133WMay 19 · 10:50D. Vojna1.67111110692J. Slavicek2.10781211113LMay 15 · 14:35J. Slavicek2.3877111182D. Sykora1.53111128113WMay 15 · 13:25J. Slavicek2.50115711113D. Sykora1.5081111892WMay 15 · 11:55M. Filipek1.73161111112J. Slavicek2.00111187133
L. Jirka10
LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 18 · 22:10J. Cousin1.8313111051L. Jirka1.8315312113LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 19:25L. Jirka1.731397131J. Cousin2.00111111153WAug 6 · 21:55L. Jirka1.551111113J. Cousin2.307860WAug 6 · 20:20P. Kubat2.388850L. Jirka1.531111113WAug 6 · 19:50T. Rein3.257890L. Jirka1.331111113
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