TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12371831
Played Aug 6Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Lukas Jirka
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:37 and never touched — 79.7% is still 79.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Jirka to win
79.7%
79.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Lukas Jirka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Jirka at 79.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 2–11 Lukas Jirka Tomas Rein has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Jirka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-11 in 13
Jirka
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1486 vs Jirka 1571
Jirka
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 0% vs Jirka 20%
Jirka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 40% vs Jirka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -5 · Jirka -1
Rein
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Jirka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirka form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 3.25 / Jirka 1.33
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Jirka)+8.8pp
TT Cup · #12371831
Rein3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 87 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Jirka1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 13 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein1wins
AwayJirka9wins
Jirka leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJirka100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein1Jirka9n = 10Jirka took 9 of 10
S2Rein2Jirka8n = 10Jirka took 8 of 10
S3Rein5Jirka5n = 10split evenly
S4Rein0Jirka5n = 5Jirka took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinJirkaR − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.737.2−6.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinJirkaBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 814 vs 99 / 19347.7%51.3%388 / 814 vs 99 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirkaRein 3.25/Jirka 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.7%
Jirka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jirka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 15 · 22:30T. Rein—11580L. Jirka—1311113
LApr 15 · 21:55T. Rein—9151171L. Jirka—11171113
LApr 15 · 21:25T. Rein—9151171L. Jirka—11171113
WMar 4 · 21:50T. Rein—1111133L. Jirka—66110
LDec 2 · 20:55T. Rein—51180L. Jirka—1113113
LNov 5 · 18:10T. Rein—36100L. Jirka—1111123
LNov 2 · 15:20T. Rein—912841L. Jirka—111011113
LNov 1 · 08:55T. Rein—7670L. Jirka—1111113
LOct 25 · 10:00T. Rein—921381L. Jirka—111111113
LOct 25 · 07:55T. Rein—5131171L. Jirka—11158113
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
L. Jirka10
LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 18 · 22:10J. Cousin1.8313111051L. Jirka1.8315312113LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182LAug 18 · 19:25L. Jirka1.731397131J. Cousin2.00111111153WAug 6 · 21:55L. Jirka1.551111113J. Cousin2.307860WAug 6 · 20:20P. Kubat2.388850L. Jirka1.531111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.