TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457665
Played Aug 18Finished
Jan Slavicek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8118111171513411
Martin Boltik
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeJan Slavicek to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Slavicek above · Martin Boltik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 99 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jan Slavicek at 56.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jan Slavicek 1–0 Martin Boltik Martin Boltik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Slavicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slavicek 1450 vs Boltik 1578
Boltik
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavicek 100% vs Boltik 80%
Slavicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavicek 90% vs Boltik 50%
Slavicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavicek +5 · Boltik +2
Slavicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Slavicek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavicek 1.53 / Boltik 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Slavicek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12457665
Slavicek1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite40% won 4 of 10
Boltik2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSlavicek1wins
AwayBoltik0wins
Slavicek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSlavicekBoltikS − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.027.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavicekBoltikBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 172 vs 65 / 10940.1%59.6%69 / 172 vs 65 / 109Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavicekSlavicek 1.53/Boltik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Slavicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boltik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 18 · 18:55J. Slavicek—11611113M. Boltik—911521
J. Slavicek10
WAug 18 · 21:25J. Cousin2.00121178102J. Slavicek1.731041111123WAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182WAug 18 · 18:55M. Boltik2.38911521J. Slavicek1.5311611113WMay 19 · 13:59J. Slavicek1.67811711113L. Moravec2.1011811942WMay 19 · 12:50J. Slavicek1.61981111123L. Moravec2.20111158102WMay 19 · 11:20J. Osmera1.9147110J. Slavicek1.801111133WMay 19 · 10:50D. Vojna1.67111110692J. Slavicek2.10781211113LMay 15 · 14:35J. Slavicek2.3877111182D. Sykora1.53111128113WMay 15 · 13:25J. Slavicek2.50115711113D. Sykora1.5081111892WMay 15 · 11:55M. Filipek1.73161111112J. Slavicek2.00111187133
M. Boltik10
WAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172WAug 18 · 19:55M. Boltik1.8311711113J. Cousin1.83611791LAug 18 · 18:55M. Boltik2.38911521J. Slavicek1.5311611113WAug 2 · 21:54M. Boltik1.44511911113R. Zeman2.6311611472WAug 2 · 20:20T. Jr3.256960M. Boltik1.331111113WAug 2 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.6381380M. Boltik1.441115113
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