TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13031246
Played Aug 27Finished
Petr Kubat
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14127111191412––
Petr Vodal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingPetr Kubat above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 90 set 4, 14-12
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kubat 5–2 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vodal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.91 / Vodal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vodal)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13031246
Kubat1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 15 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Vodal1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 49 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 34 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKubat5wins
AwayVodal2wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKubat leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat66.7%2 of 3
AwayVodal25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat3Vodal4n = 7Vodal took 4 of 7
S2Kubat4Vodal3n = 7Kubat took 4 of 7
S3Kubat3Vodal4n = 7Vodal took 4 of 7
S4Kubat5Vodal2n = 7Kubat took 5 of 7
S5Kubat3Vodal1n = 4Kubat took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKubatVodalK − VBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match43.141.1+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 246 vs 245 / 47936.2%51.2%89 / 246 vs 245 / 479Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VodalKubat 1.91/Vodal 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vodal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat—11119113P. Vodal—741181
LAug 14 · 12:50P. Kubat—11126562P. Vodal—9101111113
WAug 12 · 17:55P. Kubat—13515113P. Vodal—11111381
LAug 12 · 15:50P. Kubat—9114101P. Vodal—11511123
WOct 18 · 10:20P. Kubat—811812103P. Vodal—116111082
WAug 7 · 06:20P. Kubat—1041111113P. Vodal—12118852
WAug 2 · 12:25P. Kubat—941111113P. Vodal—11114352
P. Kubat10
WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 27 · 14:50T. Rein1.331111113P. Kubat3.253540LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 14 · 13:30P. Kubat1.36119611113A. Jr3.0061111292LAug 14 · 12:50P. Kubat2.0011126562P. Vodal1.739101111113LAug 14 · 11:20T. Rein1.3311118113P. Kubat3.25681151
P. Vodal10
LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113LAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181WAug 14 · 12:50P. Kubat2.0011126562P. Vodal1.739101111113
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