TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13028899
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113115114––––
Petr Kubat
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Rein to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Petr Kubat below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 45 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Tomas Rein at 71.7%
45 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 6–1 Petr Kubat Petr Kubat has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Rein
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Rein
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1499 vs Kubat 1381
Rein
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 60% vs Kubat 20%
Rein
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 50% vs Kubat 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein +1 · Kubat -4
Kubat
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Rein) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 1.33 / Kubat 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Rein)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13028899
Rein1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 66 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it71% 51 of 72
Kubat3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 15 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRein6wins
AwayKubat1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderRein leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein83.3%5 of 6
AwayKubatn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein6Kubat1n = 7Rein took 6 of 7
S2Rein5Kubat2n = 7Rein took 5 of 7
S3Rein6Kubat1n = 7Rein took 6 of 7
S4Rein2Kubat2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricReinKubatR − KBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match39.329.7+9.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 825 vs 88 / 24346.6%36.2%384 / 825 vs 88 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReinRein 1.33/Kubat 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Rein · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 14 · 11:20T. Rein—11118113P. Kubat—681151
WAug 7 · 21:58T. Rein—1111113P. Kubat—8520
WAug 7 · 20:55T. Rein—13511113P. Kubat—1111561
WAug 6 · 21:25T. Rein—1111113P. Kubat—2460
LAug 6 · 18:20T. Rein—11912582P. Kubat—4111011113
WMay 20 · 17:30T. Rein—1012116113P. Kubat—121051192
WMay 20 · 16:20T. Rein—1111113P. Kubat—7890
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
P. Kubat10
WAug 27 · 17:25P. Kubat1.9114711143P. Vodal1.8012119121WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 14 · 13:30P. Kubat1.36119611113A. Jr3.0061111292LAug 14 · 12:50P. Kubat2.0011126562P. Vodal1.739101111113LAug 14 · 11:20T. Rein1.3311118113P. Kubat3.25681151
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