TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097455
Played Sep 8Finished
Lukas Jirka
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121210911118115
Bohuslav Budik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Jirka to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
10121210911118115
H2H Lukas Jirka 3–2 Bohuslav Budik Bohuslav Budik has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Budik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jirka 1564 vs Budik 1609
Budik
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jirka 80% vs Budik 60%
Jirka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jirka 60% vs Budik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jirka -1 · Budik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Budik) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jirka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirka 1.86 / Budik 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Budik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13097455
Jirka1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As underdog59% won 17 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Budik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 43 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it67% 26 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJirka3wins
AwayBudik2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderJirka leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBudik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirka2Budik3n = 5Budik took 3 of 5
S2Jirka2Budik3n = 5Budik took 3 of 5
S3Jirka2Budik3n = 5Budik took 3 of 5
S4Jirka3Budik1n = 4Jirka took 3 of 4
S5Jirka2Budik1n = 3Jirka took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJirkaBudikJ − BBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.841.4−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirkaBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 192 vs 222 / 50252.1%44.2%100 / 192 vs 222 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikJirka 1.86/Budik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.8%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jirka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJun 18 · 19:20L. Jirka—1310311113B. Budik—111211772
LMay 24 · 18:00L. Jirka—96111192B. Budik—111179113
WMay 24 · 16:55L. Jirka—11117113B. Budik—971181
WJan 10 · 15:00L. Jirka—311114113B. Budik—11651192
LJan 10 · 13:25L. Jirka—7580B. Budik—1111113
L. Jirka10
LSep 8 · 19:50J. Dohnal1.611111113L. Jirka2.209570LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 18 · 22:10J. Cousin1.8313111051L. Jirka1.8315312113LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182LAug 18 · 19:25L. Jirka1.731397131J. Cousin2.00111111153WAug 6 · 21:55L. Jirka1.551111113J. Cousin2.307860
B. Budik10
LSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131
Upcoming Matches
L. Jirka
Nothing scheduled
B. Budik
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