TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100966
Played Sep 8Finished
Lukas Jirka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511118911––
Bohuslav Budik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
811511118911––
H2H Lukas Jirka 4–2 Bohuslav Budik Bohuslav Budik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Jirka beat Budik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jirka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJirka 1.80 / Budik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jirka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13100966
Jirka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 15 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Budik1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back33% 25 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJirka4wins
AwayBudik2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderJirka leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJirkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBudik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jirka2Budik4n = 6Budik took 4 of 6
S2Jirka3Budik3n = 6split evenly
S3Jirka2Budik4n = 6Budik took 4 of 6
S4Jirka4Budik1n = 5Jirka took 4 of 5
S5Jirka3Budik1n = 4Jirka took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricJirkaBudikJ − BBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match41.242.2−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJirkaBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 195 vs 222 / 50551.8%44%101 / 195 vs 222 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JirkaJirka 1.80/Budik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jirka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 8 · 18:50L. Jirka—1012911113B. Budik—121011852
WJun 18 · 19:20L. Jirka—1310311113B. Budik—111211772
LMay 24 · 18:00L. Jirka—96111192B. Budik—111179113
WMay 24 · 16:55L. Jirka—11117113B. Budik—971181
WJan 10 · 15:00L. Jirka—311114113B. Budik—11651192
LJan 10 · 13:25L. Jirka—7580B. Budik—1111113
L. Jirka10
LSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101LSep 8 · 19:50J. Dohnal1.611111113L. Jirka2.209570WSep 8 · 18:50L. Jirka1.861012911113B. Budik1.80121011852LAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 20:55M. Boltik1.61561171L. Jirka2.2011119113WAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520WAug 18 · 22:10J. Cousin1.8313111051L. Jirka1.8315312113LAug 18 · 20:55M. Boltik1.83311115113L. Jirka1.8311171172LAug 18 · 20:25J. Slavicek1.73711119113L. Jirka2.0011871182
B. Budik10
LSep 8 · 20:50B. Budik1.75781261J. Dohnal1.95111110113LSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:50L. Jirka1.861012911113B. Budik1.80121011852WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690
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