Jan Osmera vs Petr Vodal 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12462374

Played Aug 20Finished

Jan Osmera

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

8117111191181412

Petr Vodal

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Jan Osmera to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

pick shipped

How it is goingJan Osmera above · Petr Vodal below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 14-12

Point 102 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Jan Osmera at 57.7%

102 points played in total.

H2H Jan Osmera 13–10 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 10 of their 23 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 21:16

What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Osmera

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

13-10 in 23

Osmera

Correct

gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Osmera 1568 vs Vodal 1452

Osmera

Correct

both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Osmera 80% vs Vodal 20%

Osmera

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Osmera 70% vs Vodal 30%

Osmera

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Osmera +3 · Vodal +1

Osmera

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Osmera)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vodal form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsmera 1.73 / Vodal 2.00

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Osmera)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #12462374

Osmera1.73

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 86 of 144

Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82

Vodal2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 42 of 86

Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 43

Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOsmera6wins

AwayVodal4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderOsmera leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOsmera75%3 of 4

AwayVodal50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Osmera4Vodal6n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S2Osmera4Vodal6n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S3Osmera7Vodal3n = 10Osmera took 7 of 10

S4Osmera4Vodal3n = 7Osmera took 4 of 7

S5Osmera3Vodal1n = 4Osmera took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricOsmeraVodalO − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.1+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsmeraVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 486 vs 239 / 47155.1%50.7%268 / 486 vs 239 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Osmera

Osmera 1.73/Vodal 2.00

Hit

What we said

57.7%

Osmera · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Osmera won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 3 · 07:55J. Osmera—91080P. Vodal—1112113

WJul 19 · 07:25J. Osmera—1171111113P. Vodal—13116622

WJun 28 · 14:28J. Osmera—117911113P. Vodal—91111762

LJun 28 · 12:55J. Osmera—171051142P. Vodal—1512117113

WJun 20 · 09:25J. Osmera—71111113P. Vodal—119881

WMay 29 · 17:50J. Osmera—1114113P. Vodal—71290

LMay 29 · 14:20J. Osmera—771131P. Vodal—11119113

WMay 23 · 15:55J. Osmera—1111123P. Vodal—79100

WMay 10 · 16:55J. Osmera—611119113P. Vodal—11781182

LFeb 8 · 09:50J. Osmera—9131151P. Vodal—11155113

J. Osmera10

LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291 WAug 20 · 07:55J. Osmera1.66911611113B. Budik2.1011811892 WAug 18 · 14:00J. Sebl2.14612911J. Osmera1.58111011113 WAug 18 · 12:50O. Knazik1.73812881J. Osmera2.00111011113 LAug 18 · 11:50J. Osmera1.57513141162J. Sebl2.2511111213113 WAug 18 · 10:20T. Jr2.63111181162J. Osmera1.44913119113 WAug 17 · 13:23J. Osmera1.3611711113T. Rein3.00611981 LAug 17 · 12:50J. Osmera1.8311111061O. Knazik1.8313812113 LAug 17 · 11:20J. Sebl2.631111113J. Osmera1.448680 WAug 17 · 10:50T. Rein2.3811561192J. Osmera1.53811117113

P. Vodal10

LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192 LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690 LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113 LAug 30 · 13:30P. Vodal1.73107111172J. Dohnal2.00121197113 WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.