Jan Osmera vs Bohuslav Budik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12464030

Played Aug 20Finished

Jan Osmera

Home

1.66

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

911118611118119

Bohuslav Budik

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:03 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%

Graded at full time

Jan Osmera to win

57.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

95 points played in total.

Set by set

911118611118119

H2H Jan Osmera 4–0 Bohuslav Budik Bohuslav Budik has won 0 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 4–0Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 07:03

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.66 (56%)

Osmera

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-0 in 4

Osmera

Correct

gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Osmera 1568 vs Budik 1489

Osmera

Correct

both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Osmera 80% vs Budik 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Osmera 70% vs Budik 50%

Osmera

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Osmera +2 · Budik +4

Budik

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Osmera)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Budik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsmera 1.66 / Budik 2.10

Signal prob.58% / 42%

Edge (Osmera)+2.0pp

TT Cup · #12464030

Osmera1.66

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 86 of 144

Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it71% 58 of 82

Budik2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog42% won 66 of 159

Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeOsmera4wins

AwayBudik0wins

1 of 4 to a deciderOsmera leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOsmera100%3 of 3

AwayBudikn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Osmera3Budik1n = 4Osmera took 3 of 4

S2Osmera4Budik0n = 4Osmera took 4 of 4

S3Osmera3Budik1n = 4Osmera took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home250%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home125%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricOsmeraBudikO − BBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.229.8+7.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsmeraBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 486 vs 211 / 49155.1%43%268 / 486 vs 211 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Osmera

Osmera 1.66/Budik 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.9%

Osmera · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Osmera won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WApr 22 · 14:30J. Osmera—71111113B. Budik—116581

WApr 22 · 12:25J. Osmera—111165123B. Budik—951111102

WAug 20 · 09:50J. Osmera—1111113B. Budik—9990

WAug 20 · 08:40J. Osmera—111193B. Budik—5470

J. Osmera10

LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291 WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122 WAug 18 · 14:00J. Sebl2.14612911J. Osmera1.58111011113 WAug 18 · 12:50O. Knazik1.73812881J. Osmera2.00111011113 LAug 18 · 11:50J. Osmera1.57513141162J. Sebl2.2511111213113 WAug 18 · 10:20T. Jr2.63111181162J. Osmera1.44913119113 WAug 17 · 13:23J. Osmera1.3611711113T. Rein3.00611981 LAug 17 · 12:50J. Osmera1.8311111061O. Knazik1.8313812113 LAug 17 · 11:20J. Sebl2.631111113J. Osmera1.448680 WAug 17 · 10:50T. Rein2.3811561192J. Osmera1.53811117113

B. Budik10

WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890 LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131 WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113 WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672 LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872 WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690 WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113 WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131 WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123

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