Jan Osmera vs Tomas Rein 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12450089

Played Aug 17Finished

Jan Osmera

Home

1.36

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116711119118––

Tomas Rein

Away

3.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJan Osmera above · Tomas Rein below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 74 set 4, 11-8

74 points played in total.

H2H Jan Osmera 31–12 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 12 of their 43 meetings.

Last 10 · 9–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Osmera)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Osmera form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsOsmera 1.36 / Rein 3.00

Signal prob.73% / 27%

Edge (Osmera)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #12450089

Osmera1.36

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite61% won 88 of 145

Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it70% 58 of 83

Rein3.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 93 of 259

Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 151

Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeOsmera9wins

AwayRein1wins

3 of 10 to a deciderOsmera leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeOsmera100%7 of 7

AwayRein33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Osmera7Rein3n = 10Osmera took 7 of 10

S2Osmera6Rein4n = 10Osmera took 6 of 10

S3Osmera7Rein3n = 10Osmera took 7 of 10

S4Osmera4Rein1n = 5Osmera took 4 of 5

S5Osmera3Rein0n = 3Osmera took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricOsmeraReinO − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.432.8+6.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricOsmeraReinBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 481 vs 394 / 82854.9%47.6%264 / 481 vs 394 / 828Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Osmera

Osmera 1.36/Rein 3.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

72.8%

Osmera · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Osmera won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 17 · 10:50J. Osmera—811117113T. Rein—11561192

WAug 16 · 20:50J. Osmera—611811123T. Rein—118116102

WAug 13 · 11:50J. Osmera—1111123T. Rein—97100

WJul 29 · 13:19J. Osmera—1111143T. Rein—86120

LJul 29 · 12:50J. Osmera—9580T. Rein—1111113

WJul 19 · 07:55J. Osmera—116912113T. Rein—211111062

WJun 28 · 11:25J. Osmera—1111113T. Rein—8790

WMay 29 · 15:50J. Osmera—1111113T. Rein—7890

WMay 25 · 11:25J. Osmera—161211113T. Rein—1414671

WMay 24 · 11:55J. Osmera—11811113T. Rein—111771

J. Osmera10

LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291 WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122 WAug 20 · 07:55J. Osmera1.66911611113B. Budik2.1011811892 WAug 18 · 14:00J. Sebl2.14612911J. Osmera1.58111011113 WAug 18 · 12:50O. Knazik1.73812881J. Osmera2.00111011113 LAug 18 · 11:50J. Osmera1.57513141162J. Sebl2.2511111213113 WAug 18 · 10:20T. Jr2.63111181162J. Osmera1.44913119113 LAug 17 · 12:50J. Osmera1.8311111061O. Knazik1.8313812113 LAug 17 · 11:20J. Sebl2.631111113J. Osmera1.448680 WAug 17 · 10:50T. Rein2.3811561192J. Osmera1.53811117113

T. Rein10

WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540 WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113 LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113 WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113 WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141 WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572 LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113 LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990 LAug 17 · 10:50T. Rein2.3811561192J. Osmera1.53811117113

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