TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12464800
Played Aug 20Finished
Martin Filipek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191412119––
Jan Osmera
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingMartin Filipek above · Jan Osmera below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 85 set 4, 11-9
85 points played in total.
H2H Martin Filipek 2–1 Jan Osmera Jan Osmera has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Osmera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osmera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilipek 1.83 / Osmera 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Osmera)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12464800
Filipek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Osmera1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFilipek2wins
AwayOsmera1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderFilipek leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filipek1Osmera2n = 3Osmera took 2 of 3
S2Filipek2Osmera1n = 3Filipek took 2 of 3
S3Filipek1Osmera2n = 3Osmera took 2 of 3
S4Filipek2Osmera1n = 3Filipek took 2 of 3
S5Filipek2Osmera1n = 3Filipek took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFilipekOsmeraF − OBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match51.349.3+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilipekOsmeraBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 575 vs 270 / 48843.7%55.3%251 / 575 vs 270 / 488Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsmeraFilipek 1.83/Osmera 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Osmera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 14 · 12:55M. Filipek—1081311113J. Osmera—121111672
LMar 8 · 12:50M. Filipek—111571142J. Osmera—5131113113
WAug 20 · 08:10M. Filipek—1311513113J. Osmera—155111162
M. Filipek10
WSep 7 · 10:04R. Muller1.836470M. Filipek1.831111113LSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121
J. Osmera10
WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122WAug 20 · 07:55J. Osmera1.66911611113B. Budik2.1011811892WAug 18 · 14:00J. Sebl2.14612911J. Osmera1.58111011113WAug 18 · 12:50O. Knazik1.73812881J. Osmera2.00111011113LAug 18 · 11:50J. Osmera1.57513141162J. Sebl2.2511111213113WAug 18 · 10:20T. Jr2.63111181162J. Osmera1.44913119113WAug 17 · 13:23J. Osmera1.3611711113T. Rein3.00611981LAug 17 · 12:50J. Osmera1.8311111061O. Knazik1.8313812113LAug 17 · 11:20J. Sebl2.631111113J. Osmera1.448680WAug 17 · 10:50T. Rein2.3811561192J. Osmera1.53811117113
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