TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091768
Played Sep 7Finished
Radek Muller
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411711––––
Martin Filipek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Muller above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Radek Muller 15–19 Martin Filipek Radek Muller has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Filipek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muller form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 1.83 / Filipek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Filipek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13091768
Muller1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Filipek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuller5wins
AwayFilipek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller80%4 of 5
AwayFilipek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller5Filipek5n = 10split evenly
S2Muller7Filipek3n = 10Muller took 7 of 10
S3Muller4Filipek6n = 10Filipek took 6 of 10
S4Muller6Filipek3n = 9Muller took 6 of 9
S5Muller1Filipek3n = 4Filipek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMullerFilipekM − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.039.8+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 331 vs 260 / 59550.5%43.7%167 / 331 vs 260 / 595Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilipekMuller 1.83/Filipek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Filipek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller—111311113M. Filipek—915471
WAug 12 · 12:55R. Muller—511811113M. Filipek—11711772
WJul 17 · 08:55R. Muller—1111123M. Filipek—89100
LJul 7 · 22:00R. Muller—6131111102M. Filipek—111566123
LJul 7 · 19:25R. Muller—611671M. Filipek—11911113
LApr 30 · 10:03R. Muller—31111982M. Filipek—117511113
LApr 30 · 08:55R. Muller—6111081M. Filipek—11512113
WApr 8 · 09:25R. Muller—11118143M. Filipek—9711121
LApr 7 · 09:25R. Muller—119911102M. Filipek—911114123
WMar 16 · 10:55R. Muller—11119113M. Filipek—591161
R. Muller10
LSep 7 · 08:55R. Muller1.91111111472D. Pasek1.80139911113WSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471LSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163LSep 1 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.00781112133R. Muller1.731111910112WSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781LSep 1 · 18:20J. Dohnal2.00612148113R. Muller1.731110121162LAug 28 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.0011118113R. Muller1.73941181LAug 28 · 20:55R. Muller1.576680J. Sebl2.251111113LAug 28 · 19:55R. Muller1.6110860J. Dohnal2.201211113
M. Filipek10
LSep 7 · 09:25M. Filipek1.831196101F. Balcar1.8361111123LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962
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