TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108764
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711119114––
Jan Osmera
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Jan Osmera below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 13–32 Jan Osmera Tomas Rein has won 13 of their 45 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Rein beat Osmera 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Osmera)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 2.38 / Osmera 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Osmera)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13108764
Rein2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 94 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88
Osmera1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 72 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it75% 46 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein2wins
AwayOsmera8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOsmera leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein33.3%1 of 3
AwayOsmera85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein3Osmera7n = 10Osmera took 7 of 10
S2Rein4Osmera6n = 10Osmera took 6 of 10
S3Rein4Osmera6n = 10Osmera took 6 of 10
S4Rein2Osmera3n = 5Osmera took 3 of 5
S5Rein0Osmera3n = 3Osmera took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinOsmeraR − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.837.9−4.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinOsmeraBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 836 vs 266 / 48046.3%55.4%387 / 836 vs 266 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsmeraRein 2.38/Osmera 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Osmera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:25T. Rein—101111113J. Osmera—126991
LAug 17 · 13:23T. Rein—611981J. Osmera—11711113
LAug 17 · 10:50T. Rein—11561192J. Osmera—811117113
LAug 16 · 20:50T. Rein—118116102J. Osmera—611811123
LAug 13 · 11:50T. Rein—97100J. Osmera—1111123
LJul 29 · 13:19T. Rein—86120J. Osmera—1111143
WJul 29 · 12:50T. Rein—1111113J. Osmera—9580
LJul 19 · 07:55T. Rein—211111062J. Osmera—116912113
LJun 28 · 11:25T. Rein—8790J. Osmera—1111113
LMay 29 · 15:50T. Rein—7890J. Osmera—1111113
T. Rein10
LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113
J. Osmera10
LSep 10 · 08:55F. Dvorak2.10117911113J. Osmera1.6781111652LSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950LSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113WSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781WSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172WSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992LSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153LAug 20 · 10:38M. Filipek1.8381114113J. Osmera1.831191291WAug 20 · 08:55J. Osmera1.73871111143P. Vodal2.00111198122WAug 20 · 07:55J. Osmera1.66911611113B. Budik2.1011811892
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