TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105777
Played Sep 10Finished
Denys Boltenkov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210117911211511
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Boltenkov above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Denys Boltenkov 0–1 Andrii Lifanov Denys Boltenkov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:43What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Boltenkov 1486 vs Lifanov 1445
Boltenkov
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltenkov 60% vs Lifanov 40%
Boltenkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltenkov 80% vs Lifanov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltenkov +2 · Lifanov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lifanov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltenkov 2.10 / Lifanov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lifanov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105777
Boltenkov2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lifanov1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 126 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it83% 99 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBoltenkov0wins
AwayLifanov1wins
Lifanov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBoltenkovLifanovB − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltenkovLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 26 vs 206 / 37065.4%55.7%17 / 26 vs 206 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovBoltenkov 2.10/Lifanov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov—9640A. Lifanov—1111113
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.