TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055411
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715116117––––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 67 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 70.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 25–17 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-17 in 42
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1459 vs Hainiuk 1399
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 100% vs Hainiuk 60%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 80% vs Hainiuk 60%
Lifanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov +5 · Hainiuk +1
Lifanov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Lifanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 1.36 / Hainiuk 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Lifanov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055411
Lifanov1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Hainiuk3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 57 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLifanov7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov100%5 of 5
AwayHainiuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Lifanov9Hainiuk1n = 10Lifanov took 9 of 10
S3Lifanov8Hainiuk2n = 10Lifanov took 8 of 10
S4Lifanov3Hainiuk1n = 4Lifanov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLifanovHainiukL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.631.7+4.9per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 364 vs 369 / 68255.8%54.1%203 / 364 vs 369 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovLifanov 1.36/Hainiuk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 15:35A. Lifanov—1211123V. Hainiuk—108100
LAug 10 · 14:55A. Lifanov—4650V. Hainiuk—1111113
WAug 3 · 19:35A. Lifanov—1111113V. Hainiuk—7650
WJul 31 · 14:25A. Lifanov—1111113V. Hainiuk—9780
WJul 27 · 20:25A. Lifanov—91111113V. Hainiuk—119881
LJul 20 · 17:35A. Lifanov—71171172V. Hainiuk—116118113
WJul 6 · 18:05A. Lifanov—1311123V. Hainiuk—118100
WJun 30 · 12:35A. Lifanov—101111113V. Hainiuk—124661
WJun 25 · 14:25A. Lifanov—1211113V. Hainiuk—10660
LJun 23 · 17:35A. Lifanov—8111111112V. Hainiuk—119613133
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101WAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7371211772V. Hainiuk2.001110511113WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.80241111113I. Elfemov1.9111116932
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