TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055098
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711119611––
Andrii Lifanov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Lifanov to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Andrii Lifanov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Lifanov at 67.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 14–19 Andrii Lifanov Vitalii Sydorenko has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Lifanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-19 in 33
Lifanov
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1289 vs Lifanov 1467
Lifanov
Correct
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 40% vs Lifanov 80%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Lifanov 80%
Lifanov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -1 · Lifanov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Lifanov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.63 / Lifanov 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Lifanov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055098
Sydorenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 83 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Lifanov1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 127 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 100 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko4wins
AwayLifanov6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLifanov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayLifanov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko7Lifanov3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S2Sydorenko4Lifanov6n = 10Lifanov took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko6Lifanov4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko0Lifanov6n = 6Lifanov took 6 of 6
S5Sydorenko2Lifanov3n = 5Lifanov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoLifanovS − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.639.5−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoLifanovBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 595 vs 205 / 36745.2%55.9%269 / 595 vs 205 / 367Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LifanovSydorenko 2.63/Lifanov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Lifanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 19:35V. Sydorenko—111111592A. Lifanov—713511113
WAug 3 · 16:05V. Sydorenko—1111113A. Lifanov—4970
WJul 29 · 16:35V. Sydorenko—1114113A. Lifanov—81260
WJul 14 · 17:25V. Sydorenko—124119113A. Lifanov—101161182
LJun 16 · 12:35V. Sydorenko—91311792A. Lifanov—1111611113
WJun 9 · 19:05V. Sydorenko—121178113A. Lifanov—107111192
LMay 18 · 13:05V. Sydorenko—121040A. Lifanov—1412113
LMay 7 · 13:25V. Sydorenko—11811732A. Lifanov—811511113
LMay 2 · 07:55V. Sydorenko—1181071A. Lifanov—71112113
LApr 28 · 17:05V. Sydorenko—10850A. Lifanov—1211113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113WAug 25 · 18:35A. Lifanov2.38811119133V. Kaganovych1.53115811112
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