TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022697
Played Aug 27Finished
Fedir Chashchin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911411117811––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeFedir Chashchin to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFedir Chashchin above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Fedir Chashchin at 60.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Chashchin 14–6 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chashchin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Chashchin
Wrong
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chashchin 1406 vs Sydorenko 1291
Chashchin
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chashchin 60% vs Sydorenko 40%
Chashchin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chashchin 60% vs Sydorenko 40%
Chashchin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chashchin +2 · Sydorenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Chashchin) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChashchin 1.57 / Sydorenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Chashchin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13022697
Chashchin1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 30 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Sydorenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 81 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChashchin6wins
AwaySydorenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChashchin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChashchin71.4%5 of 7
AwaySydorenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chashchin7Sydorenko3n = 10Chashchin took 7 of 10
S2Chashchin3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S3Chashchin4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Chashchin4Sydorenko2n = 6Chashchin took 4 of 6
S5Chashchin3Sydorenko1n = 4Chashchin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChashchinSydorenkoC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.134.5+3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChashchinSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 180 vs 267 / 59150.6%45.2%91 / 180 vs 267 / 591Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChashchinChashchin 1.57/Sydorenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Chashchin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 15:05F. Chashchin—1186111V. Sydorenko—71111133
WJul 9 · 16:35F. Chashchin—1111113V. Sydorenko—4330
LJul 8 · 13:05F. Chashchin—11891182V. Sydorenko—811117113
LMay 26 · 15:05F. Chashchin—10470V. Sydorenko—1211113
WMay 13 · 18:35F. Chashchin—1111113V. Sydorenko—5880
WMay 7 · 19:25F. Chashchin—118149113V. Sydorenko—311121192
WMay 5 · 15:05F. Chashchin—911811113V. Sydorenko—11911432
LMay 2 · 05:55F. Chashchin—8670V. Sydorenko—1111113
WFeb 18 · 17:35F. Chashchin—11411103V. Sydorenko—911841
WFeb 12 · 13:35F. Chashchin—118912113V. Sydorenko—411111052
F. Chashchin10
LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:05V. Chumak2.251110271F. Chashchin1.5791211113WAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113WAug 27 · 17:55A. Azarov1.917630F. Chashchin1.801111113WAug 27 · 16:55F. Chashchin2.38131112113D. Boltenkov1.531591021LAug 27 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.75914119113F. Chashchin1.40111241172WAug 27 · 14:25F. Chashchin1.83691111113R. Serhyenko1.8311116432LAug 11 · 19:05F. Chashchin2.507480D. Boltnekov1.501111113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153
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