TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067700
Played Sep 3Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214911114911––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 43–39 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 39 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bielokon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-39 in 82
Bielokon
Wrong
gap of 4 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1273 vs Sydorenko 1295
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Sydorenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 40% vs Sydorenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -3 · Sydorenko +2
Bielokon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bielokon)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 1.80 / Sydorenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bielokon)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067700
Bielokon1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 66 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Sydorenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 84 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon2wins
AwaySydorenko8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon0%0 of 3
AwaySydorenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon3Sydorenko7n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S2Bielokon4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S3Bielokon4Sydorenko6n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Bielokon4Sydorenko5n = 9Sydorenko took 5 of 9
S5Bielokon2Sydorenko4n = 6Sydorenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonSydorenkoB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.044.8−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 568 vs 271 / 59847.9%45.3%272 / 568 vs 271 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonBielokon 1.80/Sydorenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 17:25Y. Bielokon—861181V. Sydorenko—11117113
WAug 26 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—811611133V. Sydorenko—117115112
LAug 21 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—1171051V. Sydorenko—91112113
LAug 4 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—11129692V. Sydorenko—4101111113
LJul 29 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—101111492V. Sydorenko—128811113
LJul 28 · 19:55Y. Bielokon—71191182V. Sydorenko—111119113
LJul 16 · 15:55Y. Bielokon—1278131V. Sydorenko—101111153
LJul 14 · 15:25Y. Bielokon—810100V. Sydorenko—1112123
LJul 12 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—1071111112V. Sydorenko—121174133
WJul 8 · 17:35Y. Bielokon—751511113V. Sydorenko—111113882
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113WAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
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