TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022770
Played Aug 27Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116911111911
Yevhen Bielokon
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Yevhen Bielokon below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 1–1 Yevhen Bielokon Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:10What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bielokon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1296 vs Bielokon 1289
Azarov
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 40% vs Bielokon 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 40% vs Bielokon 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -1 · Bielokon +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bielokon) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bielokon form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 2.10 / Bielokon 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Bielokon)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022770
Azarov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Bielokon1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 65 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAzarov1wins
AwayBielokon1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAzarovBielokonA − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.044.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovBielokonBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 13 vs 274 / 57138.5%48%5 / 13 vs 274 / 571Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonAzarov 2.10/Bielokon 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 26 · 15:05A. Azarov—111147113Y. Bielokon—67111172
LAug 16 · 17:25A. Azarov—14810101Y. Bielokon—121112123
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113
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