TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061194
Played Sep 2Finished
Ivan Elfemov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214411118119117
Artem Azarov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeIvan Elfemov to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingIvan Elfemov above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Elfemov at 58.6%
98 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Elfemov 1–1 Artem Azarov Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Elfemov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Elfemov 1314 vs Azarov 1286
Elfemov
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Elfemov 20% vs Azarov 40%
Azarov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Elfemov 20% vs Azarov 40%
Azarov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Elfemov -4 · Azarov -2
Elfemov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Elfemov) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Elfemov form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElfemov 1.73 / Azarov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Elfemov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13061194
Elfemov1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 114 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 84 of 101
Azarov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeElfemov1wins
AwayAzarov1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricElfemovAzarovE − ABasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.546.5−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElfemovAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 449 vs 7 / 1859.5%38.9%267 / 449 vs 7 / 18Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovElfemov 1.73/Azarov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 26 · 16:35I. Elfemov—113118113A. Azarov—71191182
LAug 16 · 15:55I. Elfemov—11117121A. Azarov—91311143
I. Elfemov10
LSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791WSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113LSep 2 · 14:25V. Chumak1.611111123I. Elfemov2.2036100WSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113LAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
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