TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061229
Played Sep 2Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111214114114711
Artem Azarov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhen Bielokon to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Yevhen Bielokon at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 2–1 Artem Azarov Artem Azarov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bielokon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1300 vs Azarov 1271
Bielokon
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 60% vs Azarov 40%
Bielokon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 40% vs Azarov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon +2 · Azarov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bielokon)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 1.73 / Azarov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bielokon)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13061229
Bielokon1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 65 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Azarov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBielokon2wins
AwayAzarov1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBielokon leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokonn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayAzarov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon0Azarov3n = 3Azarov took 3 of 3
S2Bielokon1Azarov2n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S3Bielokon3Azarov0n = 3Bielokon took 3 of 3
S4Bielokon3Azarov0n = 3Bielokon took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBielokonAzarovB − ABasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match45.342.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 567 vs 5 / 1448%35.7%272 / 567 vs 5 / 14Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BielokonBielokon 1.73/Azarov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bielokon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Azarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 27 · 19:25Y. Bielokon—861111113A. Azarov—11119192
LAug 26 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—67111172A. Azarov—111147113
WAug 16 · 17:25Y. Bielokon—121112123A. Azarov—14810101
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113WAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113LAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
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