TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061689
Played Sep 2Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115118411611
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 60.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 1–2 Denys Boltenkov Yevhen Bielokon has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Boltenkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1281 vs Boltenkov 1432
Boltenkov
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Boltenkov 80%
Boltenkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 40% vs Boltenkov 80%
Boltenkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -2 · Boltenkov +4
Boltenkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Boltenkov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.25 / Boltenkov 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061689
Bielokon2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 47 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Boltenkov1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBielokon1wins
AwayBoltenkov2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon1Boltenkov2n = 3Boltenkov took 2 of 3
S2Bielokon1Boltenkov2n = 3Boltenkov took 2 of 3
S3Bielokon2Boltenkov1n = 3Bielokon took 2 of 3
S4Bielokon2Boltenkov1n = 3Bielokon took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBielokonBoltenkovBielokon − BoltenkovBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.741.7−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 568 vs 10 / 1747.9%58.8%272 / 568 vs 10 / 17Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovBielokon 2.25/Boltenkov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boltenkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 13:55Y. Bielokon—91151182D. Boltenkov—119116113
LAug 26 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—4812101D. Boltenkov—111110123
WAug 21 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—11511113D. Boltenkov—711871
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113WAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
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