TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067633
Played Sep 3Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111311411811––
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 67.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 1–2 Denys Boltenkov Vitalii Sydorenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Boltenkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1306 vs Boltenkov 1456
Boltenkov
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Boltenkov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 50% vs Boltenkov 80%
Boltenkov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +3 · Boltenkov -1
Sydorenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Boltenkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.63 / Boltenkov 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067633
Sydorenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 84 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Boltenkov1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 11 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSydorenko1wins
AwayBoltenkov2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBoltenkov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko0Boltenkov3n = 3Boltenkov took 3 of 3
S2Sydorenko2Boltenkov1n = 3Sydorenko took 2 of 3
S3Sydorenko2Boltenkov1n = 3Sydorenko took 2 of 3
S4Sydorenko1Boltenkov2n = 3Boltenkov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSydorenkoBoltenkovS − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match41.343.3−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 597 vs 15 / 2445.4%62.5%271 / 597 vs 15 / 24Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovSydorenko 2.63/Boltenkov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Boltenkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 18:55V. Sydorenko—841191D. Boltenkov—11119113
WAug 26 · 14:05V. Sydorenko—511119113D. Boltenkov—11831182
LAug 21 · 15:35V. Sydorenko—71171282D. Boltenkov—1141110113
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
D. Boltenkov10
LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
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