TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055181
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111315––––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 75.8% is still 75.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
75.8%
75.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 66 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 75.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 3–16 Viktor Sharpai Vitalii Sydorenko has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-16 in 19
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1277 vs Sharpai 1367
Sharpai
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Sharpai 40%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Sharpai 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Sharpai +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sharpai) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 3.40 / Sharpai 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Sharpai)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055181
Sydorenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 83 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Sharpai1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko3wins
AwaySharpai7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSharpai leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySharpai75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko2Sharpai8n = 10Sharpai took 8 of 10
S2Sydorenko3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S3Sydorenko5Sharpai5n = 10split evenly
S4Sydorenko5Sharpai3n = 8Sydorenko took 5 of 8
S5Sydorenko1Sharpai2n = 3Sharpai took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoSharpaiSydorenko − SharpaiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.841.5−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 597 vs 260 / 55845.1%46.6%269 / 597 vs 260 / 558Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSydorenko 3.40/Sharpai 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko—97130V. Sharpai—1111153
LJul 29 · 12:35V. Sydorenko—3101161V. Sharpai—11129113
WJul 21 · 19:05V. Sydorenko—11511113V. Sharpai—811891
LJul 14 · 19:55V. Sydorenko—312781V. Sharpai—111011113
LJul 8 · 15:05V. Sydorenko—2780V. Sharpai—1111113
WJul 7 · 19:25V. Sydorenko—8141111113V. Sharpai—11169392
WMar 15 · 14:05V. Sydorenko—31111113V. Sharpai—119971
LMar 11 · 14:05V. Sydorenko—1110751V. Sharpai—71211113
LMar 10 · 19:35V. Sydorenko—71161192V. Sharpai—119119113
LMar 3 · 14:25V. Sydorenko—810111162V. Sharpai—111277103
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
V. Sharpai10
WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970LAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861
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