TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055139
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711117611––
Viktor Sharpai
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Viktor Sharpai below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 10–13 Viktor Sharpai Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1387 vs Sharpai 1348
Hainiuk
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 40% vs Sharpai 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 50% vs Sharpai 30%
Hainiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk -1 · Sharpai +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hainiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 1.91 / Sharpai 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hainiuk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055139
Hainiuk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 57 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Sharpai1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk5wins
AwaySharpai5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk33.3%1 of 3
AwaySharpai42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S2Hainiuk6Sharpai4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S3Hainiuk3Sharpai7n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S4Hainiuk5Sharpai3n = 8Hainiuk took 5 of 8
S5Hainiuk3Sharpai2n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukSharpaiH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.3−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukSharpaiBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 683 vs 258 / 55554%46.5%369 / 683 vs 258 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukHainiuk 1.91/Sharpai 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 15:35V. Hainiuk—11911113V. Sharpai—311881
WAug 24 · 17:35V. Hainiuk—61211113V. Sharpai—1110881
LJul 31 · 18:25V. Hainiuk—111397102V. Sharpai—6111111123
LJul 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—8450V. Sharpai—1111113
LJul 20 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—6260V. Sharpai—1111113
WJul 13 · 20:25V. Hainiuk—513711113V. Sharpai—111111962
WApr 17 · 03:05V. Hainiuk—3111611113V. Sharpai—11718732
WMar 18 · 16:35V. Hainiuk—511311113V. Sharpai—11811882
LMar 17 · 16:25V. Hainiuk—114561V. Sharpai—71111113
LMar 15 · 18:35V. Hainiuk—41111372V. Sharpai—117911113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101WAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7371211772V. Hainiuk2.001110511113WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.80241111113I. Elfemov1.9111116932
V. Sharpai10
WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970LAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861
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