TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049602
Played Aug 31Finished
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 1
Set by set
910––––––––
Ruslan Serhyenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 9-10
Point 19 set 1, 9-10 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 75.3%
19 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 89–34 Ruslan Serhyenko Ruslan Serhyenko has won 34 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hainiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-34 in 123
Hainiuk
Wrong
gap of 55 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1399 vs Serhyenko 1251
Hainiuk
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 60% vs Serhyenko 0%
Hainiuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 60% vs Serhyenko 10%
Hainiuk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk +2 · Serhyenko -5
Serhyenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hainiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serhyenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 1.33 / Serhyenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hainiuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049602
Hainiuk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 105 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 74 of 94
Serhyenko3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 64 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk7wins
AwaySerhyenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk83.3%5 of 6
AwaySerhyenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk6Serhyenko4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S2Hainiuk5Serhyenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hainiuk6Serhyenko4n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S4Hainiuk6Serhyenko1n = 7Hainiuk took 6 of 7
S5Hainiuk3Serhyenko2n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukSerhyenkoH − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.636.0+3.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 682 vs 264 / 59854.1%44.2%369 / 682 vs 264 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukHainiuk 1.33/Serhyenko 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–1
Serhyenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111113R. Serhyenko—8530
WAug 24 · 19:35V. Hainiuk—1171113113R. Serhyenko—711131132
WAug 13 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111113R. Serhyenko—2760
LAug 4 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—45111162R. Serhyenko—111196113
LJul 27 · 15:25V. Hainiuk—43111122R. Serhyenko—111173113
WJul 20 · 15:35V. Hainiuk—811711113R. Serhyenko—11311882
WJul 16 · 15:25V. Hainiuk—117311113R. Serhyenko—81111982
WJul 12 · 14:35V. Hainiuk—1111113R. Serhyenko—7760
LJun 29 · 19:05V. Hainiuk—1113771R. Serhyenko—61511113
WJun 25 · 20:25V. Hainiuk—81113153R. Serhyenko—11711131
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113WAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7371211772V. Hainiuk2.001110511113WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.80241111113I. Elfemov1.9111116932
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113LSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183LAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143LAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970LAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
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