TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023346
Played Aug 27Finished
Ruslan Serhyenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210511311114911
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 0–2 Denys Boltenkov Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Boltenkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1232 vs Boltenkov 1396
Boltenkov
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 0% vs Boltenkov 80%
Boltenkov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 10% vs Boltenkov 50%
Boltenkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -5 · Boltenkov +1
Serhyenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Boltenkov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 2.20 / Boltenkov 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13023346
Serhyenko2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog35% won 65 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Boltenkov1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSerhyenko0wins
AwayBoltenkov2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoBoltenkovS − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 598 vs 8 / 1543.8%53.3%262 / 598 vs 8 / 15Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovSerhyenko 2.20/Boltenkov 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boltenkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko—12531192D. Boltenkov—1011114113
LAug 21 · 17:35R. Serhyenko—117821D. Boltenkov—31111103
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113LSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183LAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101LAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.