TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067660
Played Sep 3Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911411118116114
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:31 and never touched — 84.2% is still 84.2%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
84.2%
84.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 84.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 0–3 Denys Boltenkov Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Boltenkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Boltenkov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1247 vs Boltenkov 1493
Boltenkov
Wrong
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 20% vs Boltenkov 100%
Boltenkov
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 30% vs Boltenkov 90%
Boltenkov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -4 · Boltenkov +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Boltenkov) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 5.50 / Boltenkov 1.13
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067660
Azarov5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Boltenkov1.13
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 11 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAzarov0wins
AwayBoltenkov3wins
Boltenkov leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAzarovn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBoltenkov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Azarov0Boltenkov3n = 3Boltenkov took 3 of 3
S2Azarov0Boltenkov3n = 3Boltenkov took 3 of 3
S3Azarov1Boltenkov2n = 3Boltenkov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricAzarovBoltenkovA − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match23.335.3−12.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 20 vs 14 / 2135%66.7%7 / 20 vs 14 / 21Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovAzarov 5.50/Boltenkov 1.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.8%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Azarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov—8560D. Boltenkov—1111113
LAug 27 · 14:55A. Azarov—5820D. Boltenkov—1111113
LAug 26 · 18:35A. Azarov—991171D. Boltenkov—11117113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113LAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.