TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067642
Played Sep 3Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012911––––
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:31 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 65.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 1–3 Denys Boltenkov Yevhen Bielokon has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:31What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Boltenkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Boltenkov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1298 vs Boltenkov 1480
Boltenkov
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 40% vs Boltenkov 100%
Boltenkov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 50% vs Boltenkov 90%
Boltenkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon +2 · Boltenkov +5
Boltenkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Boltenkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.50 / Boltenkov 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067642
Bielokon2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Boltenkov1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 11 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBielokon1wins
AwayBoltenkov3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBoltenkov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon1Boltenkov3n = 4Boltenkov took 3 of 4
S2Bielokon2Boltenkov2n = 4split evenly
S3Bielokon3Boltenkov1n = 4Bielokon took 3 of 4
S4Bielokon2Boltenkov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBielokonBoltenkovBielokon − BoltenkovBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.042.8−3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 568 vs 13 / 2048.1%65%273 / 568 vs 13 / 20Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovBielokon 2.50/Boltenkov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boltenkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon—81111462D. Boltenkov—115811113
LAug 27 · 13:55Y. Bielokon—91151182D. Boltenkov—119116113
LAug 26 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—4812101D. Boltenkov—111110123
WAug 21 · 13:35Y. Bielokon—11511113D. Boltenkov—711871
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113WAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
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