TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061327
Played Sep 2Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511611––––
Denys Boltenkov
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 75.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 0–2 Denys Boltenkov Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Boltenkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1302 vs Boltenkov 1444
Boltenkov
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 40% vs Boltenkov 100%
Boltenkov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 40% vs Boltenkov 90%
Boltenkov
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -1 · Boltenkov +5
Boltenkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Boltenkov) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 3.40 / Boltenkov 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Boltenkov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061327
Azarov3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 4 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Boltenkov1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 8 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAzarov0wins
AwayBoltenkov2wins
Boltenkov leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricAzarovBoltenkovA − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.536.5−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 17 vs 11 / 1841.2%61.1%7 / 17 vs 11 / 18Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovAzarov 3.40/Boltenkov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boltenkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 14:55A. Azarov—5820D. Boltenkov—1111113
LAug 26 · 18:35A. Azarov—991171D. Boltenkov—11117113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113LAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
D. Boltenkov10
WSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113LSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113LSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642WSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113WSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113WSep 2 · 13:25R. Serhyenko2.506450D. Boltenkov1.501111113WAug 27 · 20:25R. Serhyenko2.2012531192D. Boltenkov1.611011114113
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