TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067728
Played Sep 3Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191113711––
Valentyn Chumak
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:49 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Valentyn Chumak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 84 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 69.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 0–1 Valentyn Chumak Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1259 vs Chumak 1449
Chumak
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 20% vs Chumak 60%
Chumak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 30% vs Chumak 70%
Chumak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -1 · Chumak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Chumak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chumak form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 2.75 / Chumak 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Chumak)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067728
Azarov2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Chumak1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 56 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it63% 31 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAzarov0wins
AwayChumak1wins
Chumak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricAzarovChumakA − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 22 vs 279 / 55836.4%50%8 / 22 vs 279 / 558Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakAzarov 2.75/Chumak 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 16:55A. Azarov—9290V. Chumak—1111113
A. Azarov10
WSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:05A. Azarov5.50941111113D. Boltenkov1.1311118642LSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113LSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:55A. Azarov3.408560D. Boltenkov1.301111113LSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko1.8010790A. Azarov1.911211113WSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113LAug 27 · 19:25A. Azarov2.1011119192Y. Bielokon1.67861111113
V. Chumak10
WSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371LSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113WSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113WSep 2 · 14:25V. Chumak1.611111123I. Elfemov2.2036100LAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183
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