TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067659
Played Sep 3Finished
Valentyn Chumak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210311116118––
Vitalii Sydorenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:31 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingValentyn Chumak above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 56.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Valentyn Chumak 53–39 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 39 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-39 in 92
Chumak
Correct
gap of 14 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chumak 1448 vs Sydorenko 1277
Chumak
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chumak 80% vs Sydorenko 20%
Chumak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chumak 50% vs Sydorenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chumak -1 · Sydorenko -3
Sydorenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chumak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChumak 1.73 / Sydorenko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Chumak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067659
Chumak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 56 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it63% 31 of 49
Sydorenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 84 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChumak4wins
AwaySydorenko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChumak20%1 of 5
AwaySydorenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chumak5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Chumak5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Chumak5Sydorenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Chumak7Sydorenko3n = 10Chumak took 7 of 10
S5Chumak1Sydorenko5n = 6Sydorenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChumakSydorenkoC − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.444.9−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChumakSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 555 vs 269 / 59749.9%45.1%277 / 555 vs 269 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakChumak 1.73/Sydorenko 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 14:05V. Chumak—81112113V. Sydorenko—1171071
LAug 18 · 17:05V. Chumak—71111462V. Sydorenko—117911113
LAug 17 · 19:05V. Chumak—911121162V. Sydorenko—117149113
LAug 3 · 15:05V. Chumak—1131181V. Sydorenko—81113113
WJul 9 · 19:05V. Chumak—671113113V. Sydorenko—111161162
WJun 22 · 15:35V. Chumak—51312113V. Sydorenko—11111081
LJun 18 · 18:35V. Chumak—11781162V. Sydorenko—911119113
WJun 16 · 15:35V. Chumak—11119113V. Sydorenko—891191
LJun 10 · 15:35V. Chumak—117121282V. Sydorenko—4111014113
LMay 18 · 15:05V. Chumak—116711122V. Sydorenko—311118143
V. Chumak10
WSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov2.7510111171V. Chumak1.4012913113LSep 3 · 16:05V. Chumak2.00811641D. Boltenkov1.7311911113WSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 2 · 19:55V. Chumak1.8051111652D. Boltenkov1.91116711113WSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113WSep 2 · 16:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Azarov2.009290WSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113WSep 2 · 14:25V. Chumak1.611111123I. Elfemov2.2036100LAug 31 · 19:05V. Chumak1.614119161R. Serhyenko2.2011711183
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.