TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055659
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11711691111131210
Ivan Elfemov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Elfemov to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Ivan Elfemov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ivan Elfemov at 66.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 6–12 Ivan Elfemov Vitalii Sydorenko has won 6 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Elfemov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-12 in 18
Elfemov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1284 vs Elfemov 1398
Elfemov
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Elfemov 80%
Elfemov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Elfemov 60%
Elfemov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -1 · Elfemov +3
Elfemov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Elfemov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Elfemov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.63 / Elfemov 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Elfemov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055659
Sydorenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 83 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Elfemov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 114 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 84 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko1wins
AwayElfemov9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderElfemov leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayElfemov87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko2Elfemov8n = 10Elfemov took 8 of 10
S2Sydorenko4Elfemov6n = 10Elfemov took 6 of 10
S3Sydorenko2Elfemov8n = 10Elfemov took 8 of 10
S4Sydorenko3Elfemov4n = 7Elfemov took 4 of 7
S5Sydorenko1Elfemov3n = 4Elfemov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoElfemovS − EBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.543.5−8.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoElfemovBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 593 vs 266 / 44045.2%60.5%268 / 593 vs 266 / 440Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovSydorenko 2.63/Elfemov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 18:05V. Sydorenko—5135101I. Elfemov—111111123
LAug 21 · 12:35V. Sydorenko—1051181I. Elfemov—12118113
LAug 18 · 18:35V. Sydorenko—910111172I. Elfemov—111278113
LAug 11 · 13:05V. Sydorenko—11510101I. Elfemov—71112123
LJul 29 · 14:35V. Sydorenko—6260I. Elfemov—1111113
WJul 21 · 16:05V. Sydorenko—612611123I. Elfemov—1110116102
LJul 16 · 19:25V. Sydorenko—9750I. Elfemov—1111113
LJul 12 · 14:05V. Sydorenko—1112101122I. Elfemov—8101213113
LJul 9 · 12:35V. Sydorenko—41090I. Elfemov—1112113
LJul 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko—1011811132I. Elfemov—128119153
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.501141381V. Hainiuk1.5041115113LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
I. Elfemov10
LSep 3 · 19:05V. Chumak1.50121111113I. Elfemov2.501013371WSep 3 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.73811571I. Elfemov2.0011711113WSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791WSep 3 · 12:35A. Azarov2.1011680I. Elfemov1.671311113WSep 2 · 20:25I. Elfemov1.731241111113A. Azarov2.0014118972LSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 16:25R. Serhyenko2.63591411113I. Elfemov1.44111112692LSep 2 · 15:25I. Elfemov1.6713611882D. Boltenkov2.101111611113LSep 2 · 14:25V. Chumak1.611111123I. Elfemov2.2036100
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