TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055089
Played Sep 1Finished
Vitalii Sydorenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1144111315811––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Hainiuk to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Hainiuk at 62.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 42–75 Volodymyr Hainiuk Vitalii Sydorenko has won 42 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hainiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-75 in 117
Hainiuk
Correct
gap of 33 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1289 vs Hainiuk 1383
Hainiuk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Hainiuk 40%
Sydorenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Hainiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Hainiuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hainiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.50 / Hainiuk 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Hainiuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055089
Sydorenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 83 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 30 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Hainiuk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 106 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 74 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko4wins
AwayHainiuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHainiuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko50%2 of 4
AwayHainiuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko4Hainiuk6n = 10Hainiuk took 6 of 10
S2Sydorenko3Hainiuk7n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S3Sydorenko6Hainiuk4n = 10Sydorenko took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko6Hainiuk3n = 9Sydorenko took 6 of 9
S5Sydorenko1Hainiuk3n = 4Hainiuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoHainiukS − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.6−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 595 vs 370 / 68545.2%54%269 / 595 vs 370 / 685Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HainiukSydorenko 2.50/Hainiuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Hainiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko—1141381V. Hainiuk—41115113
WAug 18 · 15:35V. Sydorenko—181111113V. Hainiuk—11114822
LAug 17 · 14:35V. Sydorenko—761281V. Hainiuk—111110113
WAug 11 · 17:35V. Sydorenko—11811133V. Hainiuk—6118111
LAug 4 · 17:35V. Sydorenko—79120V. Hainiuk—1111143
LAug 3 · 13:35V. Sydorenko—89111152V. Hainiuk—111189113
LJul 28 · 15:25V. Sydorenko—111144102V. Hainiuk—991111123
LJul 21 · 13:35V. Sydorenko—81161152V. Hainiuk—119115113
WJul 16 · 18:25V. Sydorenko—131111113V. Hainiuk—156861
WJul 12 · 19:35V. Sydorenko—11412113V. Hainiuk—4111051
V. Sydorenko10
LSep 3 · 19:35V. Sydorenko2.63713481D. Boltenkov1.44111111113WSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113WSep 3 · 15:35A. Azarov1.8051211842V. Sydorenko1.911110711113WSep 3 · 14:35V. Sydorenko2.5011511113I. Elfemov1.50811791LSep 3 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7312311113V. Sydorenko2.001011681LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113LSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.631111911123I. Elfemov1.44761113102LSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 1 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.6711711432I. Elfemov2.10711711113LSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492LSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113LSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741LAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781WAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113LAug 31 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.3390R. Serhyenko3.25101WAug 31 · 13:35V. Chumak1.7371211772V. Hainiuk2.001110511113WAug 25 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.80241111113I. Elfemov1.9111116932
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